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Kim, Chae, and Leem: Estimation of Demand and Supply for Occupational and Environmental Medicine Specialties in Korea (I): Estimation of Supply
Original Article

Korean Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine 2011; 23(1): 71-79.

Published online: 31 March 2011

DOI: https://doi.org/10.35371/kjoem.2011.23.1.71

Estimation of Demand and Supply for Occupational and Environmental Medicine Specialties in Korea (I): Estimation of Supply

Jungwon Kim1, Yoomi Chae2, Jonghan Leem3

1Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, College of Medicine, Kosin University, Korea.

2Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, College of Medicine, Dankook University, Korea.

3Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Inha University Hospital, Department of Social Medicine, College of Medicine, Inha University, Korea.

Corresponding author (pwoman@empal.com)

Received 8 February 2011       Revised 27 March 2011       Accepted 27 March 2011

Copyright © 2011 The Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Medicine

Abstract

Objectives

To estimate the supply of occupational and environmental medicine specialties in the target year of 2020.

Methods

We adopted alternative projection models combined with a demographic method as a supply forecasting method. The model uses data selected primarily from the database of the Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Medicine (KSOEM), a survey for certified members of KSOEM, audit data from the Ministry of Employment and Labor (MOEL) and Hospital Accreditation. We assumed five viable alternatives in supply forecasting.

Results

Depending on the assumptions, the total occupational and environmental medicine specialties supply ranged from 706 by low-level supply estimates to 754 by high-level supply estimates in 2020. Among them, approximately 81% were estimated to engage themselves in agency for health management and periodic health examinations for workers exposed to hazards.

Conclusions

The study results suggest that the supply of occupational and environmental medicine specialties is related to the policy of MOEL. Further studies are needed concerning overall policy about health and safety and for the newly demanded market.

Keywords: Manpower, Supply forecasting, Occupational and environmental medicine specialties

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