Journal List > J Endocr Surg > v.18(2) > 1097248

Kim, Kim, Song, Sung, Lee, and Park: Clinical Significance of Tumor Size in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: a Meta-Analysis

초록

Purpose

To determine whether the tumor size associtates with aggressive clinicopathologic features and tumor recurrence in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) who had undergone thyroidectomy. Clinical significance of tumor size in patients with PTMC is still controversial.

Methods

A search of PubMed, MEDLINE, and EMBASE identified the clinical studies that examined the association of subgroups classified by tumor size (5 mm) in surgical specimens with aggressive clinicopathologic features, and clinical outcomes between 1976 and 2017.
Seven hundred twenty relevant studies were searched, and the authors selected 34 studies, including 12,134 PTMC cases. Random effects meta-analyses were performed using odds ratios (ORs) or relative risks (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

In 34 studies, compared with the patients with small PTMC, the patients with large PTMC had a higher risk of multifocality (OR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.61–2.40; I2, 40.7%), extrathyroidal extension (OR, 3.42; 95% CI, 2.46–4.75; I2, 64.9%), and lymph node metastasis (OR, 2.45; 95% CI, 1.79–3.37; I2, 80.5%). In 10 studies, patient with large PTMC had 1.65-fold increased risk of locoregional recurrence (95% CI, 1.20–2.27; I2, 0.0%).

Conclusion

This meta-analysis showed that tumor size in PTMC is associated with high-risk clinicopathologic characteristics and tumor recurrence. These findings may be helpful to decide treatment plans for patients with PTMC larger than 5 mm.

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Fig. 1.
Flow chart for article selection for the meta-analysis.
jes-18-142f1.tif
Fig. 2.
Summarized statistics and corresponding forest plot on the association of large PTMC (size >5 mm) with the high-risk factors: (A) multifocality, (B) bilaterality, (C) extrathyroidal extension, (D) LN metastasis, (E) CLN metastasis, and (F) LLN metastasis. PTMC = papillary thyroid microcarcinoma; LN = lymph node; CLN = central lymph node; LLN = lateral lymph node; OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval.
jes-18-142f2.tif
Fig. 2.
(Continued) Summarized statistics and corresponding forest plot on the association of large PTMC (size >5 mm) with the high-risk factors: (A) multifocality, (B) bilaterality, (C) extrathyroidal extension, (D) LN metastasis, (E) CLN metastasis, and (F) LLN metastasis. PTMC = papillary thyroid microcarcinoma; LN = lymph node; CLN = central lymph node; LLN = lateral lymph node; OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval.
jes-18-142f3.tif
Fig. 3.
Summarized statistics and corresponding forest plot on the association of large PTMC (size >5 mm) with the risk of tumor recurrence: (A) LR and (B) DM recurrence. PTMC = papillary thyroid microcarcinoma; LR = locoregional recurrence; DM = distant metastasis; RR = relative risk; CI = confidence interval.
jes-18-142f4.tif
Table 1.
Characteristics of the 34 studies included in the meta-analysis
Study No. of patients Gender (M/F) Age, mean Period of study Multifocal tumors Bilateral tumors Extrathyroidal extension LN metastasis Recurrence Country Incidence (ASR) Study quality
Yoon et al., 1998 (13) 72 (32/40) 10/62 45.0 1985–1995   7/16 Korea 35.4 11
Chow et al., 2003 (14) 203 (70/133) 27/176 46.8 1960–1999 18/45 3/39 18/32 4/8 (LR), 0/3 (DM) Hong Kong 1.4 13
Wada et al., 2003 (15) 259 (61/198) 29/230 48.0 1988–1998   34/146 Japan 3.1 13
Cho et al., 2006 (16) 134 (39/95) 11/123 2003–2006 3/24 7/29 11/38 Korea 35.4 13
Han et al., 2006 (17) 350 (147/203) 54/296 46.5 1990–2004 4/22 Korea 35.4 13
Lee et al., 2006 (18) 300 (62/238) 27/273 46.1 2004 7/77 16/73 Korea 35.4 13
Pelizzo et al., 2006 (7) 403 (169/234) 66/337 1990–2004 6/18 Italy 9.1 12
Roti et al., 2006 (19) 243 (86/157) 46/197 51.5 1993–2002 2/30 0/4 Italy 9.1 13
Park et al., 2007 (20) 218 (71/147) 2001–2007 18/58 5/31 10/60 4/36 Korea 35.4 12
Pakdaman et al., 2008 (21) 429 (274/155) 2002–2007 140/110 74/77 (140/110) 25/39 Canada 9.4 12
Kim et al., 2008 (22) 254 (72/182) 41/213 48.1 1985–2002 4/8 2/12 9/21 1/9 Korea 35.4 13
Kim et al., 2008 (23) 307 (49/258) 32/275 1996–2002 9/89 Korea 35.4 13
Lee et al., 2008 (24) 52 (26/26) 7/45 47.6 2000–2005 1/15 Korea 35.4 14
Tae et al., 2008 (25) 142 (62/80) 31/111 48.3 2000–2006 10/17 7/22 8/16 Korea 35.4 13
Yoo et al., 2009 (26) 165 (62/103) 13/152 46.4 2002–2006 4/17 1/6 8/22 0/4 Korea 35.4 12
Kim et al., 2009 (27) 161 (52/109) 24/137 48.3 2003–2007 11/34 10/27 18/58 19/56; 3/12§ - Korea 35.4 14
Friguglietti et al., 2011 (28) 448 (173/275) 52/396 2002–2008 26/45 23/41 10/45 Brazil 2.9 13
Kim et al., 2010 (29) 179 (78/101) 16/163 47.4 1996–2006 8/27 (29/71) 4/14 (29/71) 3/43 Korea 35.4 12
Lee et al., 2010 (30) 335 (125/220) 41/294 48.0 2006–2008 16/72 Korea 35.4 14
Lombardi et al., 2010 (31) 933 (459/474) 197/736 2002–2007 16/73 12/50 2/7 (100/187) Italy 9.1 13
Lee et al., 2011 (32) 275 (106/169) 13/262 2007–2009 29/61 16/40 (79/149) 18/44 29/71 Korea 35.4 13
Buffet et al., 2012 (33) 707 (138/569) 289/418 47.2 1960–2007 56/233 France 0.7 15
Vasileiadis et al., 2012 (34) 276 (202/74) 54/222 2002–2008 60/42 29/35 3/17 7/16 Greece 1.8 13
Zhou et al., 2012 (35) 211 (67/144) 32/179 49.0 2010–2011 10/44 8/52 (23/99) China 1.4 14
Ardito et al., 2013 (36) 149 (92/57) 30/119 47.6 2000–2005 18/10 Italy 9.1 14
Kim et al., 2013 (37) 483 (213/270) 68/415 45.2 2008 40/99 Korea 35.4 13
Zhao et al., 2013 (8) 212 (69/143) 36/176 45.1 2003–2011 17/62 China 1.4 14
Zheng et al., 2013 (38) 977 (632/345) 223/754 46.0 2001–2010 164/159 86/133 61/168 China 1.4 16
Karatzas et al., 2013 (39) 319 (249/70) 58/261 50.3 2001–2008 44/33 Greece 1.8 14
Kim et al., 2014 (40) 205 (83/122) 36/169 47.2 2005 19/33 13/25 18/52 (81/122) 14/26 (39/70) 2/7 Korea 35.4 17
Lee et al., 2014 (41) 2,018 (857/1,161) 297/1,721 45.3 1994–2010 13/28 Korea 35.4 17
Zeng et al., 2014 (42) 141 (12/129) 37/104 44.0 2004–2011 2/41§ China 1.4 16
Al-Qahtani et al., 2015 (43) 326 (161/65) 55/271 42.9 2000–2012 36/89 16/46 15/27 6/17, 4/9 (LR),2/8 (DM) Saudi Arabia 4.4 15
Usluogullari et al., 2015 (44 ) 248 (127/121) 47/201 47.8 2007–2012 28/40 17/28 7/21 2/16 4/6 Turkey 10.8 15

LN = lymph node; ASR = age-standardized rate; LR = locoregional recurrence; DM = distant metastasis; CLN = central lymph node; LLN = lateral lymph node.

The number of patients with tumor size less than 5 mm/over 5 mm was expressed in each cell

ASR per 100, 000 of thyroid cancer from GLOBACAN 2008 CLN metastasis

§ LLN metastasis

Evaluated number of patients (less than 5 mm/over 5 mm).

Table 2.
Subgroup analyses categorized by incidence rate of thyroid cancer, study quality, and published year of the articles; risk with high-risk factors, and tumor recurrence in large PTMC compared with small PTMC
Outcome Studies (No.) Summary I2 (%) P
Heterogeneity Begg Egger
Multifocality
 All studies 17 1.97 (1.61–2.40) 40.7 0.04 0.59 0.27
 Study QS            
  ≥14 4 2.45 (1.71–3.51) 53.6 0.09 0.73 0.77
  <14 13 1.78 (1.43–2.21) 20.8 0.23 0.86 0.93
 Incidence rate            
  High 13 1.98 (1.56–2.50) 29.9 0.15 0.86 0.46
  Low 4 1.93 (1.25–2.98) 69.4 0.02 0.73 0.51
 Published year            
  ≥2011 6 2.23 (1.61–3.09) 62.8 0.02 0.26 0.53
  <2011 11 1.76 (1.42–2.18) 0.0 0.47 1.00 0.96
 Combination            
  High incidence and QS ≥14 3 2.38 (1.29–4.41) 68.7 0.04 1.00 0.46
  Low incidence and QS ≥14 1 2.44 (1.85–3.22)        
  High incidence and ≥2011 4 1.95 (1.13–3.37) 74.2 0.01 0.31 0.18
  Low incidence and ≥2011 2 2.56 (2.00–3.28) 0.0 0.44 1.00  
  High incidence, ≥2011 and QS ≥14 2 2.71 (1.18–6.18) 79.8 0.03 1.00  
  Low incidence, ≥2011 and QS ≥14 1 2.44 (1.85–3.22)        
Bilaterality            
 All studies 12 2.39 (1.87–3.06) 40.0 0.07 0.84 0.68
 Study QS            
  ≥14 6 2.29 (1.70–3.09) 35.9 0.17 0.26 0.51
  <14 6 2.56 (1.61–4.05) 51.7 0.07 1.00 0.93
 Incidence rate            
  High 8 1.84 (1.40–2.40) 0.0 0.77 0.71 0.63
  Low 4 3.31 (2.22–4.96) 57.8 0.06 0.73 0.33
 Published year            
  ≥2011 7 2.52 (1.79–3.54) 59.4 0.02 1.00 0.88
  <2011 5 2.07 (1.44–2.98) 0.0 0.63 1.00 0.80
 Combination            
  High incidence and QS ≥14 3 1.59 (1.04–2.43) 0.0 0.74 1.00 0.31
  Low incidence and QS ≥14 3 2.80 (2.02–3.86) 27.2 0.25 1.00 0.62
  High incidence and ≥2011 3 1.59 (1.07–2.36) 0.0 0.75 1.00 0.68
  Low incidence and ≥2011 4 3.31 (2.22–4.96) 57.8 0.06 0.73 0.33
  High incidence, ≥2011 and QS ≥14 2 1.68 (1.02–2.75) 0.0 0.51 1.00  
  Low incidence, ≥2011 and QS ≥14 3 2.80 (2.02–3.86) 27.2 0.25 1.00 0.62
Extrathyroidal extension            
 All studies 16 3.42 (2.46–4.75) 64.9 <0.01 0.14 0.05
 Study QS            
  ≥14 4 2.85 (2.02–4.02) 0.0 0.70 0.73 0.78
  <14 12 3.78 (2.40–5.93) 73.3 <0.01 0.24 0.08
 Incidence rate            
  High 13 3.25 (2.51–4.20) 33.6 0.11 1.00 0.52
  Low 3 5.58 (0.81–38.26) 91.3 <0.01 0.29 0.11
 Low Published year 3 5.58 (0.81–38.26) 91.3 <0.01 0.29 0.11
  ≥2011 5 3.52 (1.93–6.42) 68.8 0.01 0.22 0.07
  <2011 11 3.41 (2.25–5.17) 66.6 <0.01 0.53 0.23
 Combination            
  High incidence and QS ≥14            
  Low incidence and QS ≥14 4 2.85 (2.02–4.02) 0.0 0.70 0.73 0.78
  High incidence and ≥2011 0          
  Low incidence and ≥2011 4 2.63 (1.87–3.70) 4.1 0.37 0.73 0.56
  High incidence, ≥2011 and QS ≥14 1 19.78 (6.00–69.90)
  Low incidence, ≥2011 and QS ≥14 3 3.13 (2.11–4.86) 0.0 0.76 0.75 0.79
LN metastasis            
 All studies 26 2.45 (1.79–3.37) 80.5 <0.01 0.11 0.97
 Study QS            
  ≥14 10 3.14 (1.63–6.06) 89.2 <0.01 0.37 0.96
  <14 16 2.13 (1.58–2.87) 60.3 <0.01 0.62 0.57
 Incidence rate            
  High 18 2.24 (1.72–2.91) 51.5 0.01 0.54 0.15
  Low 8 2.66 (1.23–5.78) 92.1 <0.01 0.54 0.73
 Published year            
  ≥2011 11 2.68 (1.54–4.67) 88.8 <0.01 0.35 0.83
  <2011 15 2.23 (1.59–3.11) 59.9 <0.01 0.37 0.12
 Combination            
  High incidence and QS ≥14 5 3.30 (1.69–6.41) 62.1 0.03 0.46 0.04
  Low incidence and QS ≥14 5 2.61 (0.89–7.70) 94.5 <0.01 0.81 0.75
  High incidence and ≥2011 5 2.09 (1.39–3.15) 46.8 0.11 1.00 0.74
  Low incidence and ≥2011 6 3.11 (1.19–8.12) 93.4 <0.01 0.71 0.89
  High incidence, ≥2011 and QS ≥14 2 3.68 (0.78–17.43) 73.1 0.05 1.00  
  Low incidence, ≥2011and QS ≥14 5 2.61 (0.89–7.70) 94.5 <0.01 0.81 0.75
CLN metastasis            
 All studies 10 2.54 (1.79–3.59) 55.9 0.02 0.05 0.01
 Study QS            
  ≥14 4 2.91 (1.45–5.84) 57.5 0.07 0.73 0.23
  <14 6 2.42 (1.58–3.73) 61.1 0.03 0.45 0.08
 Incidence rate            
  High 8 2.28 (1.62–3.19) 48.5 0.06 0.17 0.02
  Low 2 3.99 (1.10–14.43) 73.3 0.05 1.00
 Published year            
  <2011 6 2.59 (1.53–4.39) 62.4 0.02 0.13 0.04
  ≥2011 4 2.58 (1.53–4.34) 57.4 0.07 0.73 0.34
 Combination            
  High incidence and QS ≥14 3 3.58 (1.34–9.57) 70.5 0.03 1.00 0.31
  Low incidence and QS ≥14 2 1.27 (0.67–2.40) 46.6 0.17 1.00
  High incidence and ≥2011 2 2.00 (1.40–2.87) 0.0 0.83 1.00 0.89
  Low incidence and ≥2011 2 3.99 (1.10–14.43) 73.3 0.05 1.00
  High incidence, ≥2011 and QS ≥14 3 3.58 (1.34–9.57) 70.5 0.03 1.00 0.31
  Low incidence, ≥2011 and QS ≥14 2 1.27 (0.67–2.40) 46.6 0.17 1.00
LLN metastasis            
 All studies 3 1.43 (0.78–2.65) 0.0 0.61 0.30 0.06
LR            
 All studies 10 1.65 (1.20–2.27) 0.0 0.57 0.59 0.20
 Study QS            
  ≥14 5 1.41 (0.95–2.11) 0.0 0.59 0.81 0.30
  <14 5 2.22 (1.30–3.77) 0.0 0.55 1.00 0.96
 Incidence rate            
  High 9 1.71 (1.23–2.39) 0.0 0.54 0.60 0.14
  Low 1 1.05 (0.33–3.36)        
 Published year            
  ≥2011 5 1.41 (0.93–2.09) 0.0 0.59 0.81 0.30
  <2011 5 2.21 (1.30–3.76) 0.0 0.55 1.00 0.96
 Combination            
  High incidence and QS ≥14 5 1.41 (0.93–2.09) 0.0 0.59 0.81 0.30
  Low incidence and QS ≥14 0          
  High incidence and ≥2011 5 1.41 (0.93–2.09) 0.0 0.59 0.81 0.30
  Low incidence and ≥2011 0          
  High incidence, ≥2011 and QS ≥14 5 1.41 (0.93–2.09) 0.0 0.59 0.81 0.30
  Low incidence, ≥2011 and QS ≥14 0          
DM recurrence
 All studies 2 1.37 (0.18–10.49) 72.0 0.06 1.00  

PTMC = papillary thyroid microcarcinoma; QS = quality score; DM = distant metastasis; LN = lymph node; CLN = central lymph node; LLN = lateral lymph node; LR = locoregional recurrence; RR = relative risk; CI = confidence interval.

Summary data shown are RR (95% CI).

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