Journal List > J Korean Soc Spine Surg > v.19(4) > 1075973

Koh, Kim, Kim, Kim, Kim, and Kim: Survival Analysis of Conservative Treatement in Osteoporotic Vertebral Fracture

Abstract

Study Design

Prospective study.

Objectives

To define the prognostic factors by analyzing the survival rates of osteoporotic vertebral fracture treated by conservative management.

Summary of Literature Review

Due to an increasing elder population, many recent studies of osteoporosis have been done; pointing out that osteoporotic vertebral fracture may produce serious complications. However, there is nothing obviously demonstrated in both the management and prognosis of the osteoporotic vertebral fracture.

Materials and Methods

Survival analysis was done for 130 patients who had undergone conservative management for a single level vertebral fracture. Univariant and multivariant survival analysis was done for age at trauma, sex, body mass index (BMI), bone mineral density (BMD), smoking, diabetic history, fracture level, fracture type, vertebral compression ratio and regional Cobb's angle.

Results

Survival rate for conservative management was 70.7%. Univariant analysis for survival rate revealed significantly inferior results for age over 78 (p=0.008), T score< -3.5 (p=0.047), and crush or biconcave type than wedge type (p=0.021). Only the age factor showed significance in multivariant analysis (p=0.025, Hazard ratio=2.08).

Conclusion

Conservative management in a single level osteoporotic vertebral fracture, showed a survival rate of 70.7% and age was the most important factor in conservative management. We should notice that age of more than 78 years is at high risk for failure in conservative management of vertebral fracture.

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Fig. 1.
Measurement of vertebral compression ratio by the following formula, [(A+C)/2-B]/[(A+C)/2]. ∗A: anterior vertebral height of upper vertebra, B: anterior vertebral height of fracture level, C: anterior vertebral height of lower vertebra.
jkss-19-138f1.tif
Fig. 2.
Measurement of regional Cobb's angle on plain radiograph.
jkss-19-138f2.tif
Fig. 3.
The Survival rate was 91.5% at 2 weeks, 78.5% at 1month, 72.3% at 2months, and 70.7% at 3months.
jkss-19-138f3.tif
Fig. 4.
Univariate Analysis. (A) Age, (B) Fracture types, (C) Bone mineral density.
jkss-19-138f4.tif
Table 1.
Results of univariate analysis
Risk factors p-value Hazard ratio CI
Age: <78 vs ≥78∗ 0.008 1.77 1.56-2.14
Fracture type: Wedge type vs Biconcave, Crush type∗ 0.021 2.03 1.95-2.15
Bone mineral density (T-score): >-3.5 vs ≤-3.5∗ 0.047 1.96 1.81-2.20

Higher risk.

Table 2.
Results of multivariate analysis
Variable Hazard ratio(CI) p-value
Age
  <78 1.00 0.025
  ≥78∗ 2.08(1.09-3.94)
Fracture type
  Wedge type 1.00 0.055
  Biconcave, Crush type 2.04(0.99-4.21)

Statistically significant.

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