Abstract
Purpose:
We investigated whether a short-term follow-up prostate-specific antigen (PSA) measurement before prostate biopsy is useful in predicting the presence of prostate cancer.
Materials and Methods:
From January 2004 to May 2008, 670 patients underwent transrectal ultrasound-guided prostate biopsy. The initial PSA (PSA1) was measured at the first outpatient visit. The second PSA (PSA2) was measured the evening before prostate biopsy. Only the patients with a PSA1 between 2.5 and 20 ng/ml and an interval between PSA1 and PSA2 of between 7 and 90 days were included in this study. The short-term PSA velocity (PSAVm) was defined as {(PSA2−PSA1/interval (days)}x30. Prostate volume (PV), PSA1, PSA2, and PSAVm were compared between the patients with prostate cancer and those with benign histology.
Results:
Of the 362 patients who fulfilled the entry criteria, 365 prostate biopsies were performed. The PSAVm differed significantly between patients with prostate cancer and those with benign histology (p=0.021). In patients with a PSA1 of 10-20 ng/ml, age, PV, PSA1, PSA2, and PSAVm were significantly different between patients with prostate cancer and those with benign histology, whereas in patients with a PSA1 of 2.5-10 ng/ml, only PV was significantly different. In multivariate logistic regression analysis excluding PSA1 and PSA2, PSAVm was a significant predictor of prostate cancer overall and in patients with a PSA1 of 10-20 ng/ml, but not in patients with a PSA1 of 2.5-10 ng/ml.
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Table 1.
Variables | Total | Cancer group | Benign group | Univariatea p-value | OR (95% CI) | Multivariateb p-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. of cases | 362 | 104 (29%) | 258 (71%) | |||
Age (years) | 65.9 (12) | 67.5 (11) | 65.4 (13) | 0.001 | 1.07 (1.05-1.10) | <0.001 |
Interval between PSA1 | 29 (20) | 26.0 (20) | 30.0 (19) | 0.072 | ||
and PSA2 (days) | ||||||
Prostate volume (ml) | 43.0 (28.5) | 37.9 (18.8) | 47.3 (28.4) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.96-0.98) | <0.001 |
PSA1 (ng/ml) | 6.70 (4.02) | 7.87 (6.19) | 6.55 (3.66) | 0.006 | ||
PSA2 (ng/ml) | 6.07 (3.84) | 7.54 (5.96) | 5.85 (3.23) | <0.001 | ||
PSAVm (ng/ml/month) | -0.58 (2.1) | -0.20 (2.2) | -0.70 (2.2) | 0.002 | 1.10 (1.01-1.89) | 0.021 |
Table 2.
Variables | Antibiotics intake | p-value | Detection during PSA follow-up | p-value | Detection from health promotion center | p-value | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | ||||
No. of cases | 49 | 313 | 77 | 285 | 41 | 321 | |||
Age (years) | 48.5 (25) | 66.9 (11) | <0.001a | 65.9 (10) | 66.0 (13) | 0.679a | 55.5 (19) | 66.7 (11) | <0.001a |
Prostate volume (ml) | 31.8) (23.8) | 45.0 (28.0) | <0.001a | 46.1 (31.9) | 42.8 (27.1) | 0.182a | 33.2 (25.7) | 43.9 (28.6) | 0.002a |
PSA1 (ng/ml) | 6.10 (2.65) | 6.92 (4.24) | 0.032a | 6.79 (3.80) | 6.64 (4.19) | 0.675a | 6.59 (3.93) | 6.77 (3.98) | 0.268a |
PSA2 (ng/ml) | 5.72 (2.88) | 6.20 (4.04) | 0.538a | 5.92 (3.47) | 6.20 (3.99) | 0.858a | 5.48 (4.43) | 6.20 (3.69) | 0.121a |
PSAVm (ng/ml/month) | -0.14 (1.9) | -0.60 (2.1) | 0.492a | -0.51 (1.4) | -0.60 (2.2) | 0.900a | -0.26 (2.3) | -0.60 (2.1) | 0.783a |
No. of prostate cancer | 10 (20.4%) | 94 (30.0%) | 0.179b | 15 (19.5%) | 89 (31.2%) | 0.047b | 11 (26.8%) | 93 (29.0%) | 0.856b |
Table 3.
Variables | Total | Cancer group | Benign group | Univariatea p-value | OR (95% CI) | Multivariateb p-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. of cases | 70 | 33 (47.1%) | 37 (52.9%) | |||
Age (years) | 69.3 (14) | 71.2 (11) | 66.7 (13) | 0.014 | 1.06 (0.99-1.13) | 0.088 |
Prostate volume (ml) | 47.1 (40.3) | 42.9 (26.1) | 60.9 (44.8) | 0.009 | 0.99 (0.98-1.00) | 0.352 |
PSA1 (ng/ml) | 12.23 (4.58) | 12.97 (5.66) | 11.70 (4.42) | 0.038 | ||
PSA2 (ng/ml) | 11.14 (5.66) | 13.70 (6.76) | 9.64 (6.20) | <0.001 | ||
PSAVm (ng/ml/month) | -1.49 (4.6) | 0.00 (3.6) | -2.10 (3.9) | 0.001 | 1.19 (1.03-1.37) | 0.016 |
Table 4.
Variables | Total | Cancer group | Benign group | Univariatea p-value | OR (95% CI) | Multivariateb p-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. of cases | 292 | 71 (24.3%) | 221 (75.7%) | |||
Age (years) | 65.7 (12) | 65.9 (10) | 65.3 (13) | 0.087 | ||
Prostate volume (ml) | 42.5 (26.0) | 36.8 (17.6) | 46.1 (26.6) | <0.001 | 0.96 (0.95-0.98) | <0.001 |
PSA1 (ng/ml) | 6.09 (2.70) | 5.90 (3.42) | 6.20 (2.46) | 0.968 | ||
PSA2 (ng/ml) | 5.53 (2.86) | 5.84 (3.45) | 5.50 (2.46) | 0.152 | ||
PSAVm (ng/ml/month) | -0.47 (1.8) | -0.25 (1.4) | -0.52 (1.9) | 0.053 | 1.07 (0.98-1.17) | 0.149 |