Journal List > Investig Clin Urol > v.60(6) > 1136338

Kim, Song, Joung, Chung, Lee, and Seo: Significant clinicopathologic prognostic factors for bladder recurrence, progression, and cancer-specific survival after surgery among patients with upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma

Abstract

Purpose

This study aimed to identify prognostic factors for outcomes after radical nephroureterectomy among patients with upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC).

Materials and Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 184 nonmetastatic cases of UTUC after radical nephroureterectomy, bladder cuffing, and/or partial cystectomy (2004–2016). Bladder recurrence-free survival (BRFS), disease progression-free survival (DPFS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were estimated. The prognostic values of clinicopathologic parameters were evaluated by using Cox logistic regression analysis.

Results

The median BRFS, DPFS, and CSS values were 19.0 months, 38.5 months, and 67.0 months, respectively. We identified cases of bladder recurrence (64 cases, 34.8%), disease progression (54 cases, 29.3%), and cancer-specific death (23 cases, 12.5%). BRFS was independently associated with lymphovascular invasion (hazard ratio [HR], 0.421); DPFS was associated with intravesical instillation (HR, 0.290), active smoking (HR, 0.367), synchronous bladder lesions (HR, 2.355), and pT2 (HR, 5.199) and pT3 and pT4 (HR, 13.281) stages; and CSS was associated with alkaline phosphatase levels (HR, 0.966). Among 123 cases without previous bladder cancer, DPFS was associated with intravesical instillation (HR, 0.264), multifocal ureteral tumors (HR, 4.823), and pT3 and pT4 stages (HR, 10.899), whereas CSS was associated with pTis (HR, 32.071).

Conclusions

Patients with the factors we identified should receive adjuvant intravesical/systemic chemotherapy and intensive surveillance.

INTRODUCTION

Upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC), also known as ureteropelvic cancer, accounts for approximately 5% to 10% of urothelial tumors [123]. This cancer affects males approximately twofold more frequently than females, and pyelocaliceal tumors are approximately twofold more common than ureteral tumors [45]. The gold standard curative treatments are radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) with ipsilateral bladder cuff removal for high-risk cases of UTUC and kidney-sparing surgery with single segmental ureterectomy or endoscopic ablation for low-risk cases. These treatments provide adequate local tumor control and long-term survival [6], although the estimated 5-year survival rates are <30% and <10% in cases with regional nodal metastases and distant metastases, respectively [3].
Adjuvant chemotherapy for disease recurrence and metastasis is selected on the basis of an optimized follow-up that is scheduled to identify significant clinicopathologic prognostic factors. These factors include tumor stage and positive lymph node status, although they are also affected by the heterogeneity and aggressiveness of the UTUC [4789]. Controversy also exists regarding whether preoperative hydronephrosis, synchronous bladder tumor lesions, and other parameters are significantly related to patient survival or progression of UTUC [210111213]. Moreover, the traditional prognostic factors for UTUC after RNU, such as pathologic tumor stage and grade, are inadequate for detailed risk stratification and are difficult to evaluate before treatment [14]. Therefore, the present study aimed to evaluate clinicopathologic, preoperative imaging, laboratory, and intraoperative findings in order to identify factors that could predict bladder recurrence, disease progression, and cancer-specific death after surgery among patients with UTUC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

1. Ethical considerations

This retrospective study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the National Cancer Center (approval number: NCC-2016-0241) and complied with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki. The requirement for written informed consent was waived because of the retrospective design. All patient data and records were anonymized before the analysis.

2. Patient population

We retrospectively reviewed data from 184 consecutive patients with nonmetastatic UTUC who underwent RNU with or without bladder cuffing or with partial cystectomy between March 2004 and March 2016. Among the 184 patients, 61 patients had a history of bladder cancer. We excluded patients with nonurothelial cancer, contralateral UTUC, incomplete follow-up data, palliative surgery, and neoadjuvant chemotherapy or radiotherapy. Patients with previous or synchronous non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer were treated using transurethral resection of bladder tumor with or without intravesical instillation therapy. The treatment was selected on the basis of pathologic T stage and nuclear grade according to the 2009 TNM classification for UTUC and the World Health Organization (WHO)/International Society of Urologic Pathologists (ISUP) consensus classification from 2004.
RNU was performed by use of the open or laparoscopic technique by four different urologists according to the standard surgical methodology (extra-fascial dissection of the kidney with the entire length of the ureter and with or without the adjacent segment of the bladder cuff). Bladder cuffing was omitted for patients older than 75 years at the surgeon's discretion (n=5), for 70 to 75-year-old patients with newly diagnosed UTUC and no history of urothelial carcinoma (n=12), and for patients younger than 70 years with a single, papillary, low-grade mass at the midureter as shown during the preoperative ureteroscopy and imaging scan (n=5). Dissection of the hilar and regional lymph nodes adjacent to the ipsilateral great vessel was performed if the lymph node was intraoperatively palpable or enlarged during the preoperative axial imaging. Adjuvant chemotherapy was administered to 75 patients (40.8%), who generally had non-organconfined disease (stage 3 to 4).
The patients' records were used to obtain data regarding age, sex, and smoking status (intensity, duration, and smoking type); tumor laterality, size, multifocality, and location (renal, pelvic, ureteral, or multiple); and the presence of previous or synchronous non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer. We also collected information regarding intravesical instillation therapy, preoperative laboratory parameters (urine cytology, serum creatinine, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, and De Ritis ratio), and pathologic parameters (tumor stage, grade, positive lymph node status, lymphovascular invasion [LVI], resection margin positivity, carcinoma in situ, and tumor necrosis). Furthermore, we collected data regarding the presence of preoperative hydronephrosis, adjuvant therapy and agents, and surgical parameters (open surgery, laparoscopy, and extravesical or intravesical bladder cuffing). The patients had provided self-reported data regarding smoking status, duration, and intensity (pack-years, years of smoking, and years since smoking cessation). The exposure variable was defined as pack-years, which was calculated as (cigarettes smoked per day/20)×(years smoked). Smoking status was classified as never smoker, former smoker (smoked <100 cigarettes during their lifetime), or active smoker (regularly smoked at the time of the diagnosis). However, we did not obtain information regarding smoking style, product brand, or degree of inhalation.
All specimens from the patients were histologically confirmed to be urothelial carcinoma by a genitourinary oncopathologist with 15 years of experience. Multifocality was defined as the synchronous presence of ≥2 pathologically confirmed macroscopic tumors in the upper urinary tract. Preoperative hydronephrosis was determined by using computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, or ultrasonography.

3. Follow-up schedule

Patients were generally evaluated every 3 months during the first year after the RNU, every 6 months during years 2 to 5, and annually thereafter. Cystoscopy, blood tests, and urine tests (including urine cytology) were included in the routine surveillance protocol. Abdominal and chest computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging was suggested annually or more often, depending on the clinical stage. Other protocols, including urinary cytology, ultrasonography, magnetic resonance imaging, and elective bone scans, were performed when clinically indicated. Cases of death were determined by reviewing records from the National Cancer Registry.

4. Statistical analysis

All continuous data were presented as median and range, and all categorical data were reported as number and percentage. Univariate and multivariable Cox proportional-hazard models were used to explore risk factors for bladder recurrence-free survival (BRFS), disease progression-free survival (DPFS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) after RNU among the 184 patients with UTUC. Additional subgroup analyses of BRFS, DPFS, and CSS were performed for the 123 patients without a history of bladder cancer to exclude the effects of having a history of bladder cancer and to identify differences in outcomes according to the presence of previous bladder cancer. The variables that were included in the multivariable Cox proportional-hazard models were selected from the univariate analyses based on p-values of <0.05. Statistical analyses were performed using SAS software (version 9.4; SAS Inc., Cary, NC, USA). Differences with a two-tailed p-value of <0.05 were considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The patients' baseline clinicopathologic and intraoperative characteristics are shown in Table 1. The patients' median age was 67.5 years, and the ratio of open/laparoscopic nephrectomies was 104/80 (56.5%/43.5%). Approximately 80% of the patients had high-grade tumors, 51.4% had a pathologic T stage of ≥T3, and 8.3% had a pathologic N stage of N1–2. A total of 71 patients were never smokers (38.6%), 62 patients were former smokers (33.7%), and 51 patients were active smokers (27.7%). Intravesical instillation was performed for 66 patients (35.9%), including 33 patients (50.0%) with newly diagnosed UUTC and no history of bladder cancer and another 33 patients (50.0%) who had received instillation before nephroureterectomy because of a previous bladder cancer. During a median follow-up of 36.5 months, we detected bladder recurrence after the RNU (64 patients, 34.8%), disease progression (54 patients, 29.3%), death (49 patients, 26.6%), and cancer-specific death (23 patients, 12.5%). The median BRFS, DPFS, and CSS values were 19.0 months, 38.5 months, and 67.0 months, respectively (Table 1).
The multivariable Cox proportional-hazard analysis revealed that BRFS was independently associated with LVI (hazard ratio [HR], 0.421; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.194–0.917) (p=0.029, Table 2, Supplementary Table 1). DPFS was independently associated with intravesical instillation (HR, 0.290; 95% CI, 0.087–0.964), active smoking (HR, 0.367; 95% CI, 0.143–0.946), concomitant bladder lesions (HR, 2.355; 95% CI, 1.033–5.370), pT2 stage (HR, 5.199; 95% CI, 1.003–26.942), and pT3 and pT4 stages (HR, 13.281; 95% CI, 2.708–65.144; p<0.05, Table 3, Supplementary Table 2). CSS was independently associated with alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels (HR, 0.966; 95% CI, 0.939–0.994; p=0.017) (Table 4, Supplementary Table 3). Additional subanalyses of the 123 patients with UTUC and no history of bladder cancer revealed that no factors were independently associated with BRFS (p>0.05, Table 2). In those subanalyses, DPFS was independently associated with intravesical instillation (HR, 0.264; 95% CI, 0.076–0.917), multifocal ureteral tumors (HR, 4.823; 95% CI, 1.457–15.969), and pT3 and pT4 stages (HR, 10.899; 95% CI, 1.342–88.535; p<0.05) (Table 3), whereas CSS was independently associated with pTis (HR, 32.071; 95% CI, 1.869–550.373; p<0.05) (Table 4).

DISCUSSION

Similar to urothelial bladder carcinoma, UTUC is highly recurrent and costly to treat, despite its low prevalence. Thus, it is an important public health priority to understand the risk factors for recurrence, progression, and survival. The present study evaluated various laboratory, pathologic, operative, and adjuvant treatment factors that might predict BRFS, DPFS, and CSS after RNU for UTUC. Some of the known prognostic parameters were significant in the univariate analyses, although the multivariate analyses revealed that they did not independently predict prognosis. Furthermore, the results were significantly different between the 123 patients without a history of bladder cancer and the group of 184 patients. In the group of 184 patients, BRFS was independently predicted by LVI (HR, 0.421); DPFS was independently predicted by intravesical instillation (HR, 0.290), active smoking (HR, 0.367), concomitant bladder lesions (HR, 2.355), and pT2 (HR, 5.199) and pT3 and pT4 (HR, 13.281) stages; and CSS was independently predicted by ALP levels (HR, 0.966). However, in the 123 patients without a history of bladder cancer, no factors independently predicted BRFS, whereas DPFS was independently predicted by intravesical instillation (HR, 0.264), multifocal ureteral tumors (HR, 4.823), and pT3 and pT4 stages (HR, 10.899), and CSS was independently predicted by pTis (HR, 32.071). Despite these differences, the common factors in both groups were pathologic T2 to T4 stages, multifocal ureteral tumors, concomitant bladder lesions, and intravesical instillation. Similar results have been reported in previous studies of the prognostic factors for UTUC [21516171819].
The pathologic T stage is useful for risk stratification, as higher pathologic stages are associated with poor prognoses after RNU [346], and the present study also revealed that pathologic T2 to T4 stages predicted DPFS (p<0.05, Table 3). A previous study revealed that approximately 30% of patients with UTUC had a history of bladder cancer, similar to the findings of the present study (33.2%), and synchronous tumors were observed in approximately 8% to 13% of those cases (vs. 16.85% in the present study, data not shown) [20]. Liang et al. [2] evaluated 172 patients with UTUC who underwent RNU and found that BRFS was significantly associated with multifocality and previous or synchronous non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (p<0.05). Pignot et al. [21] reported that patients with previous or synchronous bladder cancer are more likely to develop bladder recurrence, which leads to a higher rate of intravesical instillation to prevent bladder recurrence. Mathieu et al. [22] also performed a nonsystematic literature review and found that post-RNU intravesical instillation can decrease the rate of bladder cancer recurrence. Furthermore, the present study revealed that intravesical instillation predicted DPFS, which is presumably related to patients with intravesical instillation having higher-risk bladder cancer with more aggressive pathology and poorer outcomes that are related to the greater tumor burden. These patients would receive closer surveillance and follow-up using regular, systematic clinical and cystoscopic evaluations, which would result in an earlier diagnosis and treatment of the UTUC and subsequently lead to better outcomes after early surgical intervention. Thus, routine follow-up of patients who undergo intravesical installation is recommended to prevent the progression of UTUC.
In addition to the previously mentioned prognostic factors, smoking is a known oncogenic factor for urinary urothelial carcinoma, including UTUC, and people with any history of smoking have a 2- to 4-fold increased risk of these cancers [232425]. Rink et al. [26] also reported that cigarette smoking was significantly associated with advanced disease stages, recurrence, and survival among patients who underwent RNU for UTUC. However, the mechanism or mechanisms by which aromatic amine-like chemicals promote carcinogenesis, cause recurrence and progression, and reduce survival remain unclear [24]. Interestingly, the present study revealed that active smoking was significantly associated with prolonged DPFS (HR, 0.367; p=0.038; Table 3), which conflicts with the current consensus that active smoking is associated with poorer survival outcomes. This is likely because the active smoking group had lower rates of diabetes, hypertension, and high-grade tumors (18.8%), compared with the former smoker group (33.7%) and the never smoker group (38.6%). Thus, the inverse association with DPFS might be the result of the active smokers being relatively healthy compared with the other groups. However, active smoking was a significant factor only among the group of 184 patients and was not a significant factor among the 123 patients with UTUC and no history of bladder cancer. Thus, the prognostic significance of active smoking is likely related to the risk factors for bladder cancer, rather than the risk factors for UTUC (Table 3). Furthermore, the present study did not examine smoking intensity, volume, duration, or duration of smoking cessation, which have been reported to be associated with poor oncologic outcomes among patients with UTUC (p>0.05) [2426].
The present study revealed that LVI was inversely associated with BRFS (HR, 0.421), which conflicts with the findings of previous studies [2728]. Hurel et al. [27] reported that LVI predicted a poor prognosis in patients with urinary urothelial carcinoma or UTUC and that it was an independent predictor of CSS (HR, 1.73) and metastasis-free or progression-free survival (HR, 2.14) but did not significantly predict BRFS (HR, 1.27; p=0.19). Ouzzane et al. [28] also reported that LVI was significantly associated with metastasis (HR, 1.73) but was not associated with CSS (HR, 0.95) or disease-recurrence-free survival (HR, 1.26) in their multicenter retrospective analysis. Thus, stratified analyses are needed to identify the subgroups of patients with LVI who can expect a favorable outcome after bladder recurrence.
The present study also revealed that CSS was significantly predicted by ALP levels (HR, 0.966) among the group of 184 patients and by pTis stage (HR, 32.071) among the 123 patients without a history of bladder cancer (p<0.05, Table 4). In contrast with the results of a previous study [1], the present study revealed that high ALP levels were associated with favorable CSS outcomes, which might be related to the relatively small subgroup of patients with elevated ALP levels (only 3.8% of patients had ALP levels of >129 IU/L). In this context, ALP is a well-known enzyme, and high levels are associated with poor outcomes and cancer cell proliferation in various non-liver cancers. Furthermore, UUTC with high ALP levels tends to recur and progress, which suggests that active treatments after surgery might provide favorable survival outcomes [29]. Among the 123 patients without a history of bladder cancer, pTis significantly predicted CSS (HR, 32.071; p=0.0168; Table 4), and similar results were reported in a previous study [17]. However, another study revealed that Tis was more strongly associated with BRFS [7], while the present study revealed that Tis was significantly associated with CSS.
The present study had several limitations. First, the non-randomized retrospective design and relatively small sample size are associated with inherent risks of bias. Second, we did not have adequate data to evaluate any parameters that were related to preoperative radiographic findings, extent and yield of lymph nodal dissection, adjuvant chemotherapeutic agents, tissue markers, or follow-up factors.
Third, the present study did not identify significant relationships between BRFS and known prognostic factors, such as concomitant bladder cancer and a history of bladder cancer (p>0.05, data not shown), which conflicts with previously reported data [1719]. This discrepancy may be related to differences in the cohorts or the small sample size. Therefore, further large-scale cohort studies are needed to validate the relationships between BRFS and these factors in Korean patients who undergo nephroureterectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study identified several significant clinicopathologic prognostic factors for BRFS, DPFS, and CSS among patients who underwent RNU for UTUC. These results suggest that it may be appropriate to consider adjuvant intravesical or systemic chemotherapy and intensive surveillance for patients with these characteristics, especially patients who have a history of smoking. In addition, we observed that bladder recurrence after RNU among patients with UTUC was not strongly associated with DPFS or CSS. Therefore, large cohort studies are needed to examine the factors that may interfere with this relationship.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We thank Ms. Eun Ji Lee for creating the database and performing the sorting processes.
This work was supported by a grant (NCC1610230) from the National Cancer Center of the Republic of Korea.

Notes

CONFLICTS OF INTEREST: The authors have nothing to disclose.

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SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIALS

Scan this QR code to see the supplementary materials, or visit https://www.icurology.org/src/sm/icurology-60-432-s001.pdf.
icu-60-432-g001.jpg

Supplementary Table 1

Multivariate analysis of risk factors for recurrence in the bladder among the 184 patients and the 123 patients without a history of bladder cancer
icu-60-432-s001.pdf

Supplementary Table 2

Multivariate analysis of risk factors for progression in the bladder among the 184 patients and the 123 patients without a history of bladder cancer
icu-60-432-s002.pdf

Supplementary Table 3

Multivariate analysis of risk factors for cancer-specific death in the bladder among the 184 patients and the 123 patients without a history of bladder cancer
icu-60-432-s003.pdf
Table 1

Baseline characteristics of 184 patients with upper urinary urothelial carcinoma, including 61 patients with a history of bladder cancer

icu-60-432-i001
Variable Total data set (n=184) Upper urinary tract cancer without bladder cancer (n=123)
Age (y) 67.50 (24.00–87.00) 67.00 (24.00–87.00)
Sex (male/female) 135/49 (73.4/26.6) 85/38 (69.1/30.9)
BMI (kg/m2) 24.20 (15.80–33.40) 24.20 (15.80–33.40)
Hypertension 81 (44.0) 56 (45.5)
Diabetes 24 (13.0) 11 (8.9)
Bladder cancer status
 None 123 (66.8) -
 Previous bladder tumor history 53 (28.8) -
 Concomitant bladder tumor history 8 (4.3) -
Intravesical instillation history 66 (35.9) 33 (26.8)
 Preoperative instillation 33 (50.0)
 Postoperative instillation 33 (50.0) 33 (26.8)
Preoperative hydronephrosis 100 (54.3) 66 (53.7)
Preoperative ureteroscopy 45 (24.5) 27 (22.0)
ASA
 1 39 (21.2) 25 (20.3)
 2 119 (64.7) 80 (65.0)
 3 15 (8.2) 9 (7.3)
Smoking status
 Never smokers 71 (38.6) 59 (48.0)
 Former smokers 62 (33.7) 34 (27.6)
 Active smokers 51 (27.7) 30 (24.4)
Duration smoked (y) 28.00 (2.00–66.00) 20.00 (0.00–66.00)
Duration smoked
 Never smoked 71 (38.6) 59 (48.0)
 <40 years 58 (31.5) 31 (25.2)
 ≥40 years 55 (29.9) 33 (26.8)
Intensity smoked
 Never smoked 71 (38.6) 59 (48.0)
 <1 pack-year 36 (19.6) 19 (15.4)
 ≥1 pack-year 76 (41.3) 44 (35.8)
Preoperative laboratory
 Creatinine (mg/dL) 1.20 (0.56–31.00) 1.20 (0.56–31.00)
 Alanine transaminase (IU/L) 20.00 (9.00–196.00) 19.50 (9.00–196.00)
 Alanine aminotransferase (IU/L) 15.00 (1.30–291.00) 15.00 (1.30–291.00)
 Alkaline phosphatase (IU/L) 77.00 (36.00–206.00) 77.00 (36.00–206.00)
Operative findings
 Operative method
  Open 104 (56.5) 62 (50.4)
  Laparoscopy 80 (43.5) 61 (49.6)
 Cuffing method
  None 22 (12.1) 12 (9.9)
  Intravesical 3 (1.6) 2 (1.7)
  Extravesical 147 (80.8) 107 (88.4)
  Partial cystectomy 10 (5.5) 0 (0.0)
Hospital stay 13.00 (3.00–104.00) 12.00 (3.00–104.00)
Pathologic findings
 Tumor location
  Single renal pelvic site 75 (41.0) 61 (49.6)
  Single ureter site 69 (37.7) 44 (35.8)
  Multiple sites 39 (21.3) 18 (14.6)
 Multifocality 26 (14.2) 11 (8.9)
 Tumor grade (1973 WHO classification)
  1 5 (3.0) 5 (4.5)
  2 58 (35.4) 38 (34.5)
  3 101 (61.6) 67 (60.9)
 Tumor grade (2004 WHO/ISUP classification)
  Low 33 (20.1) 21 (19.1)
  High 131 (79.9) 89 (80.9)
 Pathologic T stage (missing) 11 7
  Ta+T1 36 (20.8) 25 (21.6)
  T2 45 (26.0) 30 (25.9)
  T3+T4 89 (51.4) 50 (43.1)
  Carcinoma in situ only 3 (1.7) 2 (1.7)
 Carcinoma in situ 29 (15.9) 18 (14.6)
 Lymphovascular invasion 50 (28.3) 35 (30.0)
 Tumor necrosis 15 (8.2) 12 (9.8)
 Pathologic N stage (missing) 4 3
  Nx 106 (58.9) 68 (56.7)
  N0 59 (32.8) 39 (32.5)
  N1+N2 15 (8.3) 13 (10.8)
 Tumor size (>2.5 cm) 132 (73.3) 92 (75.4)
 Resection margin positive (positive) 33 (18.3) 23 (18.7)
Survival outcomes
 Bladder recurrence 64 (34.8) 37 (30.1)
 Time to bladder recurrence (mo) 19.00 (0.00–160.00) 20.00 (0.00–154.00)
 Progression 54 (29.3) 36 (29.3)
 Time to progression (mo) 38.50 (0.00–160.00) 39.00 (0.00–159.00)
 Cancer-specific death 23 (12.5) 13 (10.6)
 Time to cancer-specific survival (mo) 67.00 (0.00–160.00) 62.00 (0.00–159.00)
 Adjuvant chemotherapy 75 (40.8) 49 (39.8)
 Palliative chemotherapy 30 (16.3) 20 (16.3)

Values are presented as median (range), number (%), or number only.

BMI, body mass index; ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists; WHO, World Health Organization; ISUP, International Society of Urologic Pathologists; -, not applicable.

Table 2

Multivariate analysis of risk factors for recurrence in the bladder among the 184 patients and the 123 patients without a history of bladder cancer

icu-60-432-i002
Variable Total data set (n=184) No previous bladder cancer (n=123)
Multivariate Multivariate
HR (95% CI) p-value HR (95% CI) p-value
Hypertension 1.728 (0.980–3.046) 0.0587 1.692 (0.814–3.517) 0.1591
Diabetes 1.268 (0.577–2.783) 0.5547
Bladder cancer status (no) 1 (Ref.)
 Previous bladder tumor 1.439 (0.780–2.654) 0.2444
 Concomitant bladder tumor 0.219 (0.025–1.920) 0.1702
Preoperative hydronephrosis 1.808 (0.843–3.875) 0.1280
Smoking status
 Never smokers 1 (Ref.)
 Former smokers 1.534 (0.797–2.953) 0.2004
 Active smokers 0.745 (0.351–1.581) 0.4438
Alanine transaminase 1.004 (0.997–1.010) 0.2909 1.003 (0.997–1.010) 0.3481
Tumor location
 Single renal pelvic site 1 (Ref.)
 Single ureter site 0.869 (0.466–1.623) 0.6600
 Multiple sites 1.596 (0.750–3.396) 0.2255
Lymphovascular invasion 0.421 (0.194–0.917) 0.0294
Pathologic T stage
 Ta+T1 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
 T2 0.860 (0.430–1.717) 0.6685 0.858 (0.349–2.112) 0.7393
 T3+T4 0.616 (0.308–1.233) 0.1716 0.605 (0.254–1.441) 0.2564
Carcinoma in situ only 1.670 (0.301–9.257) 0.5574 4.344 (0.886–21.297) 0.0701

HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; Ref., reference.

Table 3

Multivariate analysis of risk factors for disease progression among the 184 patients and the 123 patients without a history of bladder cancer

icu-60-432-i003
Variable Total data set (n=184) No previous bladder cancer (n=123)
Multivariate Multivariate
HR (95% CI) p-value HR (95% CI) p-value
Intravesical instillation history 0.290 (0.087–0.964) 0.0434 0.264 (0.076–0.917) 0.0361
Smoking status
 Never smokers 1 (Ref.)
 Former smokers 1.264 (0.576–2.775) 0.5593
 Active smokers 0.367 (0.143–0.946) 0.0381
Hemoglobin 0.916 (0.717–1.170) 0.4824 0.913 (0.667–1.249) 0.5679
Lymphocyte 0.990 (0.960–1.021) 0.5103 0.996 (0.957–1.036) 0.8325
Platelet 0.998 (0.992–1.003) 0.4123
Calcium 1.135 (0.296–4.359) 0.8534
Albumin 0.784 (0.354–1.736) 0.5489 0.517 (0.090–2.978) 0.4602
Alanine transaminase 1.002 (0.973–1.032) 0.8965
Concomitant bladder lesion 2.355 (1.033–5.370) 0.0417
Tumor location
 Single renal pelvic site 1 (Ref.)
 Single ureter site 1.295 (0.608–2.757) 0.5024
 Multiple sites 1.462 (0.559–3.825) 0.4392
Multifocality 4.823 (1.457–15.969) 0.0100
Tumor grade (2004 WHO/ISUP classification)
 Low 1 (Ref.)
 High 0.625 (0.224–1.740) 0.3680
Pathologic T stage
 Ta+T1 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
 T2 5.199 (1.003–26.942) 0.0496 5.378 (0.593–48.803) 0.1349
 T3+T4 13.281 (2.708–65.144) 0.0014 10.899 (1.342–88.535) 0.0254
 Carcinoma in situ only 0.000 (0.000–NA) 0.9900 0.000 (0.000–NA) 0.9922
Carcinoma in situ 1.025 (0.458–2.294) 0.9529 1.209 (0.490–2.984) 0.6806
Lymphovascular invasion 0.873 (0.429–1.776) 0.7081 1.237 (0.570–2.684) 0.5912
Tumor necrosis 1.449 (0.441–4.758) 0.5411
Pathologic N stage (Nx) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
 N0 0.613 (0.291–1.292) 0.1984 0.519 (0.210–1.284) 0.1559
 N1+N2 1.452 (0.424–4.979) 0.5527 1.554 (0.536–4.504) 0.4170
Resection margin positive 1.610 (0.546–4.741) 0.3878
Bladder recurrence 1.264 (0.409–3.901) 0.6839

HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; Ref., reference; WHO, World Health Organization; ISUP, International Society of Urologic Pathologists; NA, not applicable.

Table 4

Multivariate analysis of risk factors for cancer-specific survival among the 184 patients and the 123 patients without a history of bladder cancer

icu-60-432-i004
Variable Total data set (n=184) No previous bladder cancer (n=123)
Multivariate Multivariate
HR (95% CI) p-value HR (95% CI) p-value
Diabetes 5.388 (0.975–29.765) 0.0535
Alkaline phosphatase 0.966 (0.939–0.994) 0.0171
Tumor location
 Single renal pelvic site 1 (Ref.)
 Single ureter site 1.707 (0.528–5.515) 0.3713
 Multiple sites 2.060 (0.511–8.303) 0.3095
Multifocality 3.103 (0.893–10.786) 0.0749
Pathologic T stage
 Ta+T1 1 (Ref.)
 T2 1.555 (0.095–25.598) 0.7572
 T3+T4 5.695 (0.722–44.937) 0.0988
 Carcinoma in situ only 32.071 (1.869–550.373) 0.0168

HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; Ref., reference.

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