Abstract
Background
Methods
Results
Supplementary Material
Supplemental Table S1.
Supplemental Table S2.
Supplemental Table S3.
Supplemental Table S4.
Supplemental Table S5.
Supplemental Table S6.
Supplemental Table S7.
Supplemental Fig. S1.
Supplemental Fig. S2.
Notes
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This study was funded by the ThyCa: Thyroid Cancer Survivors’ Association Inc. and administered by the American Thyroid Association through grant number (THYROIDGRANT 2021-0000000232) and The School of Medicine Pilot Grant (to Eman A. Toraih). We acknowledge the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program team for establishing and maintaining this valuable cancer database, allowing robust epidemiological research on thyroid cancer prognosis.
This work was supported by the Tulane Cancer Center, part of Tulane School of Medicine, and a consortium partner of the Louisiana Cancer Research Center
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Conception or design: E.A.T., J.A.J., M.H.H., A.A.M.S., M.S.F., E.K. Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: E.A.T., J.A.J., M.H.H. Drafting the work or revising: E.A.T., J.A.J., M.H.H., A.A.M.S., M.S.F., E.K. Final approval of the manuscript: E.A.T., J.A.J., M.H.H., A.A.M.S., M.S.F., E.K.
REFERENCES
Fig. 1.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 3.
Fig. 4.
Table 1.
| Characteristic | Total (n=101,164) | No ETE (n=98,835) | Laryngotracheal ETE (n=2,329) | P value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demographics | ||||
| Age | ||||
| Median age, yr | 49 (38–60) | 49 (38–59) | 59 (46–71) | <0.001a |
| ≤55 | 64,675 (63.9) | 63,720 (64.5) | 955 (41.0) | <0.001a |
| >55 | 36,489 (36.1) | 35,115 (35.5) | 1,374 (59.0) | |
| Sex | <0.001a | |||
| Female | 79,111 (78.2) | 77,607 (78.5) | 1,504 (64.6) | |
| Male | 22,053 (21.8) | 21,228 (21.5) | 825 (35.4) | |
| Race | <0.001a | |||
| White | 83,344 (83.2) | 81,501 (83.3) | 1,843 (79.4) | |
| Black | 6,516 (6.5) | 6,405 (6.5) | 111 (4.8) | |
| Asian or Pacific Islander | 9,756 (9.7) | 9,411 (9.6) | 345 (14.9) | |
| American Indian/Alaska native | 601 (0.6) | 578 (0.6) | 23 (1.0) | |
| Hispanic/Latino | <0.001a | |||
| No | 86,891 (85.9) | 85,115 (86.1) | 1,776 (76.3) | |
| Yes | 14,273 (14.1) | 13,720 (13.9) | 553 (23.7) | |
| Marital status | <0.001a | |||
| Married/domestic partner | 63,730 (66.1) | 62,334 (66.2) | 1,396 (61.9) | |
| Single | 19,612 (20.4) | 19,232 (20.4) | 380 (16.8) | |
| Separated/divorced | 8,098 (8.4) | 7,903 (8.4) | 195 (8.6) | |
| Widowed | 4,923 (5.1) | 4,637 (4.9) | 286 (12.7) | |
| Residency | 0.510 | |||
| Rural | 10,158 (10.1) | 9,915 (10) | 243 (10.5) | |
| Urban | 90,909 (89.9) | 88,828 (90) | 2,081 (89.5) | |
| Household income | 0.560 | |||
| ≥$75,000 | 67,547 (66.8) | 65,970 (66.7) | 1,577 (67.7) | |
| <$75,000 | 33,607 (33.2) | 32,855 (33.2) | 752 (32.3) | |
| Presentation | ||||
| Histological type | 0.150 | |||
| Papillary | 96,481 (95.4) | 94,245 (95.4) | 2,236 (96) | |
| Follicular | 4,683 (4.6) | 4,590 (4.6) | 93 (4.0) | |
| Prior cancer before TC | <0.001a | |||
| Negative | 89,397 (88.4) | 87,427 (88.5) | 1,970 (84.6) | |
| Positive | 11,767 (11.6) | 11,408 (11.5) | 359 (15.4) | |
| T staging | <0.001a | |||
| T1 | 60,973 (73.7) | 60,973 (75.2) | 0 | |
| T2 | 15,227 (18.4) | 15,227 (18.8) | 0 | |
| T3 | 4,828 (5.8) | 4,828 (6.0) | 0 | |
| T4a | 1,425 (1.7) | 53 (0.1) | 1,372 (85.4) | |
| T4b | 235 (0.3) | 0 | 235 (14.6) | |
| N staging | <0.001a | |||
| N0 | 82,553 (83.9) | 81,719 (84.9) | 834 (38.2) | |
| N1 | 15,895 (16.1) | 14,547 (15.1) | 1,348 (61.8) | |
| M staging | <0.001 | |||
| M0 | 100,506 (99.3) | 98,393 (99.6) | 2,113 (90.7) | |
| M1 | 658 (0.7) | 442 (0.4) | 216 (9.3) |
Values are expressed as median (interquartile range) or number (%). Two-sided chi-square and Fisher exact tests were used. A tumor of any size that invades the subcutaneous soft tissues, larynx, trachea, esophagus, or recurrent laryngeal nerve is staged as T4a, while a tumor that invades prevertebral fascia, mediastinal vessels, or carotid artery is staged as T4b, according to the International Union Against Cancer.
ETE, extrathyroidal extension; TC, thyroid cancer.
Table 2.
| Characteristic | Total (n=101,164) | No ETE (n=98,835) | Laryngotracheal ETE (n=2,329) | P value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Management | ||||
| Cancer-directed surgery | <0.001a | |||
| Overall | 99,846 (98.7) | 97,632 (98.8) | 2,214 (95.1) | |
| Lobectomy and/or isthmectomy | 17,011 (16.8) | 16,860 (17.1) | 151 (6.5) | |
| Subtotal thyroidectomy | 5,314 (5.3) | 5,177 (5.2) | 137 (5.9) | |
| Total thyroidectomy | 76,672 (75.8) | 74,782 (75.7) | 1,890 (81.2) | |
| Surgery, NOS | 813 (0.8) | 36 (1.5) | 849 (0.8) | |
| Surgery at other sites | <0.001a | |||
| Regional sites or lymph nodes | 366 (3.1) | 310 (2.7) | 56 (10.6) | |
| Distant lymph nodes | 666 (5.6) | 624 (5.5) | 42 (8.0) | |
| Distant sites | 376 (3.2) | 294 (2.6) | 82 (15.5) | |
| Adjuvant therapy | <0.001a | |||
| Radioactive ablation | 41,244 (40.8) | 39,887 (40.4) | 1,357 (58.3) | |
| Radiation therapy | 44,470 (44.0) | 42,720 (43.2) | 1,750 (75.1) | |
| Systemic therapy | 33,833 (47.3) | 33,143 (47.2) | 690 (54.6) | |
| Outcomes | ||||
| Recurrence | ||||
| Positive | 408 (0.4) | 393 (0.4) | 15 (0.6) | 0.070 |
| Second primary cancers | ||||
| Positive | 20,966 (20.7) | 20,345 (20.6) | 621 (26.7) | <0.001a |
| Survival status | <0.001a | |||
| Alive | 90,370 (89.3) | 89,066 (90.1) | 1,304 (56.0) | |
| Dead | 10,794 (10.7) | 9,769 (9.9) | 1,025 (44.0) | |
| Cause of death | <0.001a | |||
| Alive | 90,370 (89.3) | 89,066 (90.1) | 1,304 (56.0) | |
| Dead, other cancer | 9,078 (9.0) | 8,655 (8.8) | 423 (18.2) | |
| Dead, TC | 1,716 (1.7) | 1,114 (1.1) | 602 (25.8) |
Table 3.
| Variable |
Overall mortality |
Thyroid cancer-specific mortality |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | |
| Age ≥55 years vs. <55 years | 1.18 (1.05–1.33) | 0.005a | 5.92 (4.69–7.48) | <0.001a |
| Sex: male vs. female | 1.05 (0.91–1.18) | 0.450 | 1.29 (1.08–1.54) | 0.005a |
| Race: Black vs. White | 1.16 (0.88–1.53) | 0.310 | 0.97 (0.63–1.52) | 0.880 |
| Race: Asian or Pacific Islander vs. White | 1.10 (0.94–1.29) | 0.260 | 0.62 (0.48–0.84) | 0.001a |
| Race: American Indian/Alaska Native vs. White | 1.13 (0.56–2.30) | 0.740 | 2.04 (0.91–4.64) | 0.090 |
| Ethnicity: Hispanic/Latino vs. none | 1.32 (1.16–1.52) | <0.001a | 0.83 (0.67–1.04) | 0.090 |
| Income: ≥$75,000 vs. <$75,000 | 1.09 (0.97–1.24) | 0.170 | 1.18 (0.98–1.47) | 0.100 |
| Residence: urban vs. rural | 0.99 (0.82–1.20) | 0.910 | 0.86 (0.66–1.23) | 0.290 |
| Histological type: FTC vs. PTC | 0.64 (0.42–0.95) | 0.023a | 1.26 (0.82–2.2) | 0.270 |
| T staging: T4b vs. T4a | 1.38 (1.14–1.67) | 0.001a | 1.62 (1.28–2.05) | <0.001a |
| N staging: N1 vs. N0 | 1.03 (0.90–1.16) | 0.680 | 1.44 (1.22–1.78) | <0.001a |
| M staging: M1 vs. M0 | 1.75 (1.30–2.29) | <0.001a | 2.52 (2.04–3.21) | <0.001a |
| Cancer-directed surgery vs. none | 0.78 (0.42–1.43) | 0.400 | 0.34 (0.26–0.52) | <0.001a |
| Radioactive iodine vs. none | 1.13 (0.94–1.34) | 0.200 | 0.50 (0.41–0.65) | <0.001a |
| External beam radiation vs. none | 1.05 (0.85–1.27) | 0.710 | 0.99 (0.80–1.29) | 0.950 |
| Systemic therapy vs. none | 0.77 (0.65–1.02) | 0.060 | 0.83 (0.68–1.03) | 0.090 |
Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was conducted, adjusting for potential demographic and clinical confounders, which included age, sex, race, ethnicity, income, residence, histological type, tumor staging, nodal staging, metastasis staging, and treatment modalities. HR and 95% CI were reported using surgery only as a reference.
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; FTC, follicular thyroid cancer; PTC, papillary thyroid cancer.
Table 4.
| Treatment received |
Overall mortality, mo |
Thyroid cancer-specific mortality, mo |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | SD | P value | Mean | SD | P value | |
| Cancer-directed surgery only | 133.2 | 5.41 | Ref | 157.1 | 6.57 | Ref |
| Surgery+RAI | 167.7 | 2.61 | <0.001a | 189.8 | 2.69 | <0.001a |
| Surgery+EBR | 109.2 | 5.85 | 0.150 | 124.0 | 6.88 | 0.033a |
| Surgery+systemic therapy | 86.9 | 8.64 | 0.990 | 99.3 | 10.5 | 0.990 |
| Surgery+RAI+systemic therapy | 156.7 | 5.63 | 0.004a | 184.5 | 5.78 | 0.001a |
| Surgery+EBR+systemic therapy | 84.9 | 10.9 | 0.008a | 88.8 | 12.6 | 0.001a |
| No treatment | 40.1 | 14.2 | <0.001a | 45.6 | 17.7 | <0.001a |
Table 5.
| Pairwise comparison | Subject per arm |
Overall mortality |
Thyroid cancer-specific mortality |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | P value | HR | 95% CI | P value | ||
| Surgery+RAI vs. surgery only | 345 | 0.70 | 0.56–0.86 | <0.001a | 0.67 | 0.50–0.89 | 0.007a |
| Surgery+EBR vs. surgery only | 253 | 1.11 | 0.89–1.39 | 0.360 | 1.21 | 0.91–1.61 | 0.200 |
| Surgery+systemic therapy vs. surgery only | 48 | 0.81 | 0.47–1.41 | 0.460 | 0.60 | 0.29–1.26 | 0.180 |
| Surgery+RAI+systemic therapy vs. surgery only | 346 | 0.69 | 0.53–0.90 | 0.006a | 0.62 | 0.43–0.88 | 0.009a |
| Surgery+EBR+systemic therapy vs. surgery only | 64 | 1.58 | 1.01–2.47 | 0.046a | 2.08 | 1.17–3.71 | 0.013a |
| No management vs. surgery only | 25 | 0.97 | 0.53–1.76 | 0.910 | 1.01 | 0.48–2.12 | 0.980 |
Matching was performed using 1:1 nearest neighbor propensity score matching without replacement. Propensity scores were calculated using logistic regression based on the following covariates: age, sex, race, ethnicity, income, residence, tumor size, nodal stage, metastases, and histology. Matches were made using a caliper width of 0.2 of the standard deviation of the logit of the propensity score. The balance between matched pairs was assessed using standardized mean differences, with values <0.1 considered to indicate good balance. Univariate Cox regression models were conducted for each comparison.
HR and 95% CI were reported using surgery only as a reference.
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; RAI, radioactive iodine ablation; EBR, external beam radiation.



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